College Football Picks Week 5 NCAA Predictions Previews Odds From Mitch on Tonys Picks TV 9-23-2014

September 24, 2014

Mitch from Sports Chat Place guests on the Tonys Picks TV Show and offers his picks, predictions, previews and odds from all of the top games from college football in Week 5.

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Thursday September 25th—

7:30PM ET—Texas Tech at Oklahoma St (ESPN)—
Oklahoma St favored by -14 with a total of 71 ½ points
Both teams are off a bye week. Texas Tech got plastered by Arkansas in week three. The fallout saw the Red Raiders fire their defensive coordinator.
Oklahoma St has won and covered the past five meetings. After a week one loss to Florida St by six points they have wins against Missouri St and Texas San Antonio.

10PM ET—UCLA at Arizona St (FOX1)—

UCLA favored by -5 total 59 ½ points.
Both teams are 3-0 and coming off byes. Arizona St starting quarterback Taylor Kelly is out for this game. Junior Mike Bercovici gets the start. He is 9 of 17 this year with 79 yards and a touchdown.
All three UCLA wins have been by one possession. Brett Hundley is expected to play after leaving in week three against Texas where the Bruins backup quarterback Jerry Neuheisel completed a 33 yard touchdown pass with three minutes left for the 20-17 road win.

Friday September 26th—

8PM ET—Middle Tennessee St at Old Dominion (FOX1)—
Old Dominion favored by -3 total is 67 points.
Middle Tennessee St is 0-2 on the road with a 36-17 loss last week at Memphis and loss at Minnesota 35-24. The Blue Raiders are 102nd against the run surrendering 203 rushing yards per game.
This is a Conference USA East game. Both teams are 1-0 in conference. The Monarchs are 3-1 on the year and they pick up a 45-42 road win at Rice last week as a +6 ½ point underdog.

Saturday September 27th—

12PM ET—Tennessee at Georgia (ESPN)—
Georgia favored by -17 total is 55 ½ points.
Tennessee is coming off a bye after a 34-10 road loss at Oklahoma in week three getting 21 points. The 100 yard interception return in the fourth quarter against the Volunteers cost their backers the spread cover. Can the Volunteers generate offense in the road in Athens?
Georgia crushed Troy last week after a three point defeat at South Carolina. The Bulldogs can put up points scoring 45 at home to Clemson and 35 at South Carolina.

3:30PM ET—Florida St at NC State (ABC)—

Florida St -19 total is 58 points.
Jameis Winston returns under center for Florida St as the Seminoles are forced into overtime in their win at home to Clemson last week. This is the first true road game for the Seminoles.
NC State had some struggles against Georgia Southern and Old Dominion this year in victory. Their two other wins came at South Florida and home to Presbyterian.
3:30PM ET—Arkansas at Texas A&M (CBS)—
Texas A&M -8 with an over under line of 69 ½ points.
After a 10 game losing streak to FBS schools the Razorbacks have a blowout win at Texas Tech and last week they blow out Northern Illinois at home 52-14 as a -13 ½ point favorite. They are averaging 324 yards rushing per game.
This is the biggest test for the Aggies since their 52-28 road win in week one at South Carolina. The defensive line for the Aggies hopefully has hit the weights this week.

4:15PM ET—Stanford at Washington (FOX)—

Stanford -8 with a total of 48 points.
The Cardinal is off the bye. After their three point home loss to USC they host Army in week three and win 35-0 as a -28 ½ point favorite. Defense has allowed a total of 13 points in three games.
This is the biggest test for Chris Peterson and his Washington Huskies. They overcame a 14-0 first half deficit last week as they outscored Georgia St 45-0 in the second half. We will find out a lot about this Huskies team.

6PM ET—Cincinnati at Ohio St (B10)—

Ohio St -15 ½ with a total of 64 points.
This looks like a lot of points to lay with Ohio St after they lose at home to Virginia Tech in week two 35-21. J.T. Barrett bounce back off defeat with accurate passing and six touchdowns in a home blowout win against Kent St in week three. Buckeyes are off a bye.
After a 58-34 blowout at home to Toledo the Bearcats struggled past Miami Ohio last week winning by a touchdown as a -30 point favorite. Bearcats sophomore quarterback Gunner Kiel faces his biggest test as the Buckeyes good front four can pressure opposing quarterbacks.
7PM ET—Missouri at South Carolina (ESPN)—
South Carolina -5 with a total of 63 points.

Missouri suffered their first loss of the season last week in a 31-27 home defeat to Indiana as a two touchdown favorite. The Hoosiers ran for 241 yards and passed for 252 on the Tigers defense.
South Carolina had a nice win in week three to Georgia. They win but fail to cover at Vanderbilt as a -23 point favorite last week as the Gamecocks give up 34 points to the Commodores.

7:30PM ET—Duke at Miami (ESPN2)—

Miami -7 with a total of 62 points.
The Hurricanes return home after giving up 41 points and 343 rushing yards in defeat by ten points last week at Nebraska. Freshman quarterback Brad Kaaya battling interceptions issues as he has seven in four games.
Duke is 4-0 picking up wins against soft foes in Elon, Troy, Kansas and Tulane. To their credit against the weak competition they are allowing just an average of 11.5 points a game.

7:30PM ET—Memphis at Mississippi (FSN)—

Ole Miss -19 with a total of 57 ½ points.
The Tigers are 2-1 on the year but have covered all three games. They gave UCLA a scare in week two as the lose 42-25 as a +22 point underdog on the road. They were favored by -11 ½ points last week and cover winning 36-17 at home to Middle Tennessee St.
Mississippi is coming off three consecutive victories by 22 points or greater. The Rebels are off a bye week. After a 22 point win to Boise St on a neutral field they win by 38 at Vanderbilt and in week three they win by 41 home to Louisiana Lafayette. It is dangerous laying this many points with Ole Miss because you always have to worry about quarterback Bo Wallace making mistakes.

8PM ET—Baylor at Iowa St (FOX)—

Baylor -21 with a total of 69 points.
I have no idea how quarterback Bryce Petty can play throw broken bones in his back near his spine. They Bears are 3-0 straight up and against the spread with blowout wins by 42 points or greater against SMU, Northwestern St and in week three at Buffalo.
Iowa St is 1-2 and will be coming off a bye week after winning 20-17 at rival Iowa in week three. The Cyclones are up against it as they are the #115th ranked offense and ranked 107th in scoring this season.

8PM ET-Notre Dame vs Syracuse (ABC)—

Notre Dame -12 with a total of 48 points.

Game will be played at East Rutherford New Jersey. Fighting Irish 3-0 and coming off the bye. After an early struggle with Purdue they take over the game in the second half with a 30-14 victory as a -30 point favorite. The defense has shown as they rank fourth in the nation in points allowed at 10.3 per game.
Syracuse is 2-1 on the year. After wins against Villanova and Central Michigan they get beat 34-20 at home to Maryland last week. They gave up 31 first half points to the Terrapins. They lose despite outgaining Maryland 589-369 yards.

10:30PM ET—Oregon St at USC (ESPN)—

USC -9 with a total of 55 ½ points.
USC is coming off a bye week after getting upset at Boston College in week three. The Trojans defense failed big time allowing the Eagles 37 points and 452 rushing yards for 8.2 yards a carry.
Oregon St defense represented well last week as they held a pretty good San Diego St team to just seven points as the Beavers moved to 3-0 on the year. They have a 38-30 road win at Hawaii in week two.

The Picks: The winning college football picks are available free right now to all callers to Tony’s Courtesy line by dialing 1-888-711-4311. [hana-code-insert name=’Call Me 2′ /]

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